Are We Due For Another Momentum Shift? by Charlie Cook

It has been almost two weeks since the conclusion of the Republican National Convention. It’s now clear that while Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois got a bounce out of the Democratic gathering in Denver, Sen. John McCain of Arizona — or maybe I should say his running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin — got a bigger one out of the GOP event in St. Paul, Minn.

Polls seem to show that the bounces have settled to a point where the race is very close. Partisans are galvanized on both sides, with a narrow slice of largely independent undecided voters in the middle.

While Obama led in the polls through the summer, events that occurred and circumstances that developed unquestionably worked against him and in favor of McCain.

    The question now is, what’s next? This is an obviously subjective judgment, but there seems to be a tonal shift in the national conversation over the last few days compared to early last week.

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